It's interesting and telling that no major network, published an online poll because they were either overwhelmingly Trump, or they thought they would be. Right now most of the major online polls are a win for Trump. True they are not "scientific", but they were limited respondents to only one vote, and as far as polls go you only the answer people give you at the time they are called, polled, so, about the same. So far much of the professional polling has the race as a dead heat.

Focus groups were more pronounced, as every-time Hillary went on about her accomplishments, they went down. I don't know if it's a memory lapse or something else, but the fact is she has no measurable accomplishments in Government, as First Lady, Senator (NY) and then as Secretary of State, as proven by track records well established by now. Unless you consider the debacle in Syria as a "success".
Trump's lack of government experience argument went out the window when Barack Obama was elected, who also had the same limitations of experience (community service notwithstanding).

Showing that the experience quotient matters but not as much to voters as someone who promises change in the status quo. People are sick of same old same politics which goes no where yet creates worse chaos in it's wake.
The secret of Trump's popularity, is a measure of America's fatigue toward the political elite and their constant scandals, misfires in foreign policy and other issues. To hear Clinton talk about her policy successes is like me describing the way I scramble an omelet. To me it looks good, but what I mess I make, and worse, I hope someone else cleans it up.

Reported Clinton camp pressure on NBC's producer to go after Trump as Holt's performance turned out to be accurate and again, it turns out NBC just can't get a moderator who can just moderate. They're job isn't to fact check, or become the 3rd debater for either candidate, thus Holt's performance is being criticized by even the most moderate of political observers.

The "Crowley Effect" needs to be addressed by the debate commission. Between the two candidates speaking to their perspective choirs they lost nobody, but IND and UND but a 4% switch from UND to "Likely Trump". Fact is that Clinton represents the establishment which most voters have had enough of and anyone who is anti-establishment is likely have a better chance this year than in previous years.

As far as October Surprises, Trump has weathered most controversy and grown, while Clinton has lost in some cases a 8 point advantage after the convention. However, unlike Trump she can ill afford more bad news and leaker, Julian Assange promises there is much more being held back that hasn't been released yet. If it shows anything of value, or adds to mounting evidence to the email scandal, or perhaps more foundation issues, she's done.
There could be a surprise for Trump, but unless it's naked pictures (sorry) of him with a cat or worse, I don't think much else sticks. Sorry, but "He's a dirty business man" doesn't surprise most people, except to the fringe left wings who hate any kind of business or evidently sucess for that matter. So right now I don't see much that would make a dent.

Additionally like him or hate him, Donald Trump is a product of America's Reality TV loving, Idol worshiping love of the bombastic person, in your face, the kind of person that makes you say yeah!
Hillary on the other hand appears mad, agitated, frustrated, and for most she brings up memories of the 90s, but not in a good way, visa Whitewater, Paula Jones, "Bimbo Eruptions",Impeachment, all the way to her losing her cool during the Benghazi hearings, "What difference does it make?" Well it seems a lot, especially to the parents of those who were killed in what pretty much was left off the resume of foreign policy achievement.

Another issue is that of Bernie supporters, some of which just to "pay back"for what they perceive as the criminal way in which she stole the nomination away from their standard bearer, and perhaps just stay home and not vote, the results would be catastrophic as the Clinton camp includes them in their internal polling calculations. Trump has no significant 3rd party opposition, and it's likely more than half of Johnson's supports will throw the switch for Trump than just throw their vote away, rather than stay home.

Either way after the first debate there is likely going to be a further momentum for Trump, as Hillary did not sell herself well to IND and UND, and again, against all odds, screw ups and other negatives about Trump, he came into the to the debate with a 54.5% chance of winning the election. Pretty amazing.

I don't think last night really changed it, and if it did it's likely a bump for Trump.

The FBI document dump on the investigation shows that Hillary didn't know what a "C" meant in documents.

Clinton did not recall receiving any emails she thought should not have been on an unclassified system,” reads a summary of the FBI’s findings from July. “She relied on State officials to use their judgment when emailing her and could not recall anyone raising concerns with her regarding the sensitivity of the information she received at her email address.”

As Comey said before, three email chains with Clinton included at least one paragraph marked with a “(C),” indicating the paragraph contained confidential material.

“Clinton stated she did not know what the ‘(C)’ meant at the beginning of the paragraphs and speculated it was referencing paragraphs marked in alphabetical order,” according to the FBI summary.

This is a lie, and hows the FBI cover up. Everyone who is briefed on classified documents knows that they are marked according to a set standard of style. "C" always means "Classified". Clinton in signing any pre-tenure agreements on access to marked information would have been briefed on it. Specifically this guidance.

The title or subject of a classified document is marked with the appropriate classification abbreviation in parentheses -- (TS), (S), (C), or (U) immediately following and to the right of the title or subject. All documents containing information that requires control markings, regardless of classification, format, or medium, shall be portion marked. The overall classification of a document is equal to the highest classification level of any one portion found in the document.

Each portion of a classified document is to be marked with the appropriate classification abbreviation in parentheses immediately before the beginning of the portion. If the portion is numbered or lettered, place the abbreviation in parentheses between the letter or number and the start of the text. A portion is ordinarily defined as a paragraph, but also includes subjects, titles, graphics, tables, charts, bullet statements, sub-paragraphs, classified signature blocks, bullets and other portions with slide presentations and the like.

Again, she knows this by her NDA signing, acknowledging so.

So as you can see there is no excuse. There is no way the FBI didn't know this and include it in their findings UNLESS they know by doing so she be culpable and so subject to charges.

More at GP

If you follow the media you would think that it's all over for Truth. That he should just pack it up and go home.

Not so...

Most polling making up the Real Clear Poltics average were done before Trump 2.0, and especially before he beat both Obama and Hillary to Louisiana to view the damage from the catastrophic flooding. People notice, as a new poll from the La Times suggests.

Fact is that Clinton has retained a small but too close to call lead since the conventions. We'll have to see if there is a change after last weeks events. As I noted on Twitter, Hillary didn't do herself any favors by dogging going to Louisianna, or fueling more rumors of her health by taking four days off the trail to rest. Plus there is still the email scandal, and now long overdue investigation into her pay for play foundation.

Stay tuned folks, ain't over by a long shot. If Trump stays on message, and more bad news in the form of Wikileaks (which have been promised), and/or revelations from the investigations - ongoing - things for Trump could change drastically.

Terrorist, pure and simple.

A Facebook community dubbed the ‘Black Power Political Organization’ has claimed responsibility for the shootings in Dallas, which killed at least five police officers. Their page retrieved from cache reveals they promise more attacks.

The group’s page on Facebook appears to have been deleted or blocked, but its content is still available on Google cache.

On Friday, the group claimed their “sniper assassins” took down “five police officers,” according to the screen grabs.

The FB page is down now but here's a screen grab via Google Cache..

Word is that there is a Black Lives Matter connection, more in a bit. Right now a standoff with one of the terrorist, threatening "The end is near".

"DEVELOPING: Dallas Police were in a standoff early Friday with a suspected sniper who targeted law enforcement officers during a protest march, killing four and injuring seven other officers as well as one civilian.

Dallas Police Chief David Brown said the suspect holed up in a downtown parking garage had exchanged gunfire with officers for 45 minutes and had claimed "the end is coming", as well as that he had planted bombs across Dallas.

Brown also said that authorities had earlier taken a woman into custody in the area of the garage. Two men were also being questioned after police pursued a vehicle away from downtown onto Interstate 35.

Brown said "our assumption" is that the four suspects were "working together with rifles, triangulating at different positions." He had no information on a possible motive or the identities of any of the suspects. He also noted that police were not completely certain that every suspect was in custody.

Late Thursday, Brown confirmed the four fatalities — three Dallas officers and one transit officer — and said seven other officers and one civilian were wounded in the shooting. Three of the injured officers reportedly were in critical condition and two others were in surgery.

Dallas' public transit agency, DART, confirmed on Twitter that in addition to the murdered officer, three other officers suffered non-life-threatening injuries.

Brown said multiple shooters positioned themselves in two parking garages in downtown Dallas and "planned to injure and kill as many law enforcement officers as they could."

A Dallas police source estimated to Fox News that at least 60 rounds were fired over a "large kill zone." The source added that the shooting would have required considerable planning."

More at CNN


A woman was also taken into custody in the vicinity of the El Centro parking garage.

A fourth suspect was engaged in a shootout with Dallas SWAT officers, police said, and a suspicious package was found near the suspect's location. Police said the package is being secured by the bomb squad.

That suspect told police "the end is coming...and there are bombs all over the place," according to Dallas police chief David Brown. That suspect also said that he planned to hurt more officers.

"We’re leaving every motive on the table," Brown said. It was yet to be determined if the attackers were part of the rally, but they appeared to be working together Brown added.

Police initially identified a man on Twitter as a "suspect." In a subsequent statement, though, they referred to him as a "person of interest" and said that he had turned himself in. His status was unclear.

Despite the suspects being in custody, Brown said during a press conference early Friday morning the department doesn't have "complete comfort level" that they "have all the suspects."

UPDATE: Fifth officer now deceased.

FLASHBACK: Black Lives Matter called for lynching and killing of white people/cops.

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